PSA to Europoors and United Kingbrokes, monitor your forex...
Mainly to United Kingbrokes, Just 24 hours ago, one British (£1) pound would get you $1.2939 United States Donalds, whereas as of this minute it would get you $1.3165. On a $50K portfolio, if you were to exchange the funds back to your broke country's currency, you'd lose more than a grand in 24 hours. That hurts. Devil's in the detail, and in foreign exchange. https://preview.redd.it/ly7adhstchu51.png?width=888&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e901ee38714e018e8cad8780603b5a43cbc5a34 One more fun fact for you losers. Let's say you exchanged and withdrew $50,000 during the March bottom because you thought you were oh so fucking smart, calling the bottom. If you put this in an autistic ETF and got, let's say 15-20% returns till date, your net return to your home currency if you were to exchange today would now be zero you fuck. Point being, watch that forex.
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This may appear to be a noob question, but read on carefully and please try and understand the point I'm trying to make! I'm hoping your answers might be helpful to people both learning Forex and looking to get into it, so please don't hate on me for this post. I am relatively new to FX and have learned about break and retest strategies, MACD crossovers and stop losses below structure and risk to reward ratios (usually going for 1:1 or 2/3:1) and so on. I say this only so you know I've a general (very basic) understanding of charts, price action etc. I definitely do NOT expect to step into the markets and instantly win a majority of my trades, however, to illustrate my thoughts please note the example below. If I am winning 2% on a winning trade and losing 1% on a losing trade (2:1 reward risk per trade), a strategy that wins just 50% of the time trading once per trading day would be +10% each month. (10 days of -1%, 10 days of +2%). +10% is a HUGE increase in accounts and if a $1000 account was +10% per month for 12 months the end of year balance would be over $3138.43 or a 213.84% return! This leads me to a theory that almost NO system can be returning 50% on a 2:1 reward risk, even with careful trade selection (let's say I monitor the 7 major pairs, gold and GBP/JPY as I do and pick one entry a day) Am I wrong? I appreciate it is a hypothetical example designed to make a point, but my thoughts are if you monitored lots of pairs and took only ONE entry a day, we might expect to win 50% of the time. Let's expand this further. I have seen numerous algos (can't name them but looking like they win at LEAST 50% of the time) which tempt me because they appear to indicate moves I could jump on and where I could pull a bunch of pips out of the market. However, there surely cannot be a holy grail or are people making this type of insane return? It cannot be as easy as buying an algo, signing up to $300,000 worth of FTMO funding and earning 10% per month for an easy $21,000 per month income with profit share. Or maybe it is and I'm just cynical?! I end up getting tempted by courses etc. in the hope that if I spent £400 on a good course it would open the door to what I need to do, but I'm nervous this is just another huge mistake. I genuinely would love to trade Forex for a living. Really I would. I hope it's possible and I hope to learn a strategy I can wash, rinse and repeat. I love watching videos and live streamers who seem to have a great understanding of what's going on but I wonder if it's really possible. It seems a million miles away but I'm determined to keep learning and trading. Reading your considered thoughts to this post would be helpful for me and I'm sure others and thank you for reading it.
New to Forex, how did you all decide which pairs to focus on or do you monitor a few and wait for the appropriate signals?
Hi all, New to both trading and Forex. I'm curious how many of you trade a single pair? If you do, how did you decide upon it? Demo trading with your strategy on multiple pairs for a given time and choose the best one? If you trade multiple, is it just monitoring a few and waiting for the correct signal from one to enter? I've just created a demo account on Oanda and am building my strategy on MT4. From very preliminary work, I think the best pair for my strategy would be the most volatile. What are some good resources on current volatility? Does anyone use this Oanda one? As a rough estimate, if my strategy is most successful with more volatility, should I use the most volatile pair from the previous day and trade with that for the current day?
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